Sanders leads very big in Oregon with 78.35%

In Oregon Bernie will win very big. In agreement with my work the competition is none. Oregon is a Ultra-Liberal state, eight years ago Barack Obama won despite the almost total absence of the African American Community, and this year is confirmed with Bernie.

Sanders can count in Oregon on the vote of a large White Community, on the vote of minorities (in this state are also Ultra-Liberal the Asians and Blacks) and of 100,000 new voters who have registered in the Democratic Party files in recent months.

If in the last days will register tens of thousands of people there could be the gift that everyone wants: the 85%. A miracle.

As I said earlier here Bernie is the majority among both White (75% with a turnout of 72%) is among the Black (60% with a turnout of 60%) than among Asian American and Hispanics (65% with a turnout of 65%). If these rates were to improve – even in this case – there may be grounds for the bang.

As for the methodology I referred to last CNN Exit Poll for the vote by Gender, to an IVN Survey, to The Green Papers and Dave Leip’s Data, to 2010 Census Data and Secretariat of State Data from September 2015 to April 2016. For the turnout i’ve followed Sos.Oregon.Gov.

 

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3 pensieri riguardo “Sanders leads very big in Oregon with 78.35%

  1. How have your predictions matched the actual results? I made simple spread sheet that uses past poling data and actual results to determine polling error based on primary being open, closed or mixed to get pretty decent results. Keep up the hard fight! #BernieOrBust

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  2. Are you registered and ready to vote? Bernie Sanders has all the qualities of a true leader including fairness, kindness, honesty, humility, authenticity, energy, intelligence, experience, empathy, and he is passionate about helping every child succeed, thus building a stronger and brighter USA for future generations. Sanders won 86% of the vote in his home state which speaks volumes about his character. 170 leading economists agree that Bernie’s plan for saving the middle class will grow the economy and save the average family $5,000 a year on health insurance! Check out Bernie’s legislative video recordings on You tube, He won the highest congressional award in his fight for veterans presented to him by the Veterans of Foreign Wars. Vote smart! Vote Bernie! Double check your registration and polling place and do not leave your place in line when the polls close on you. Take friends along with you along with water etc for possible long waits in long lines. Once Bernie Sanders is president all the tactics used for voter suppression will end and so will the shady scams that take place in our government today! To help go to berniesanders.com and print out and pass out fliers, make calls, donate, etc. Vote smart! Vote Bernie!

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