The final Poll Average shows that Democrats have flipped the Senate

11/6/2018 THE POLITICAL ANALYZER METHODOLOGY

My poll average is quite simple, but innovative: every year I give a vote to every pollster from 1 to 10, after, if for example I want to extrapolate the average polls of the election challenge between Beto O’Rourke and Ted Cruz in Texas, I collect all the existing polls, I multiply the percentage value of each of them for the vote of the pollster ‘X’. I proceed in this way for all the pollsters, I add up all the results and, finally, I divide the sum by the sum of the votes that I delivered to all the pollsters.

 

TURNOUT

Considering that 34 million people have already voted, I suppose that the final turnout will stop just under the threshold of 100 million people

 

PROJECTIONS

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